Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.035755 0.038583 0.041549 0.044896 0.048573 0.052495 0.057003
2025-04-13 0.031545 0.035595 0.040077 0.045423 0.051653 0.058711 0.067357
2025-04-20 0.028438 0.033171 0.038623 0.045407 0.053680 0.063512 0.076185
2025-04-27 0.026446 0.031690 0.037933 0.045980 0.056176 0.068793 0.085795
2025-05-04 0.024497 0.030014 0.036763 0.045722 0.057446 0.072470 0.093507
2025-05-11 0.022927 0.028640 0.035797 0.045549 0.058686 0.076055 0.101250
2025-05-18 0.021548 0.027383 0.034849 0.045262 0.059661 0.079254 0.108611
2025-05-25 0.020422 0.026361 0.034111 0.045156 0.060805 0.082680 0.116487
2025-06-01 0.019224 0.025159 0.033038 0.044482 0.061056 0.084795 0.122527
2025-06-08 0.018084 0.023962 0.031888 0.043602 0.060909 0.086260 0.127625
2025-06-15 0.017201 0.023067 0.031095 0.043163 0.061345 0.088572 0.134170
2025-06-22 0.016411 0.022255 0.030367 0.042758 0.061776 0.090864 0.140819
2025-06-29 0.015532 0.021281 0.029365 0.041898 0.061469 0.092004 0.145704
2025-07-06 0.015105 0.020935 0.029254 0.042366 0.063247 0.096569 0.156790
2025-07-13 0.014576 0.020412 0.028848 0.042348 0.064233 0.099890 0.165980
2025-07-20 0.014230 0.020140 0.028799 0.042873 0.066117 0.104819 0.178493
2025-07-27 0.013714 0.019587 0.028292 0.042636 0.066710 0.107565 0.187195
2025-08-03 0.013252 0.019094 0.027854 0.042477 0.067412 0.110530 0.196562
2025-08-10 0.012795 0.018590 0.027370 0.042213 0.067907 0.113141 0.205456
2025-08-17 0.012405 0.018172 0.027002 0.042115 0.068675 0.116284 0.215695
2025-08-24 0.011922 0.017589 0.026346 0.041496 0.068474 0.117605 0.222294
2025-08-31 0.011426 0.016967 0.025600 0.040686 0.067877 0.118128 0.227240
2025-09-07 0.011043 0.016511 0.025106 0.040282 0.067992 0.120012 0.235278